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The classic experiment I describe next shows that people will not draw from base-rate information an inference that conflicts with other beliefs. It also supports the uncomfortable conclusion that teaching psychology is mostly a waste of time. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Confusing experience with the memory of it is a compelling cognitive illusion - and it is the substitution that makes us believe a past experience can be ruined. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We are prone to overestimate how much we understand about the world and to underestimate the role of chance in events. -- Daniel Kahneman
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As you can experience, the request to retrieve and say aloud your phone number or your spouse's birthday also requires a brief but significant effort, because the entire string must be held in memory as a response is organized. -- Daniel Kahneman
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True intuitive expertise is learned from prolonged experience with good feedback on mistakes. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Experienced happiness refers to your feelings, to how happy you are as you live your life. In contrast, the satisfaction of the remembering self refers to your feelings when you think about your life. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Jumping to conclusions is efficient if the conclusions are likely to be correct and the costs of an occasional mistake acceptable. Jumping to conclusions is risky when the situation is unfamiliar, the stakes are high and there is no time to collect more information. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Jumping to conclusions is a safer sport in the world of our imagination than it is in reality. Statistics -- Daniel Kahneman
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Mind is a machine for jumping to conclusions -- Daniel Kahneman
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The average investor's return is significantly lower than market indices due primarily to market timing. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Researchers who studied a thousand Dutch vacationers concluded that by far the greatest amount of happiness extracted from the vacation is derived from the anticipation period ... -- Daniel Kahneman
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We found that people, when engaged in a mental sprint, may become effectively blind. The authors of The Invisible Gorilla had made the gorilla "invisible" by keeping the observers intensely busy counting passes. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The idea that you can ask one question and it makes the point - well, that wasn't how psychology was done at the time. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The planning fallacy is that you make a plan, which is usually a best-case scenario. Then you assume that the outcome will follow your plan, even when you should know better. -- Daniel Kahneman
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A plan is only a scenario, and almost by definition, it is optimistic ... As a result, scenario planning can lead to a serious underestimate of the risk of failure. -- Daniel Kahneman
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When people talk of the economy being strong, they don't seem to feel that they, too, are better off. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Happiness does not have a simple meaning and should not be used as if it does. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The bat-and-ball problem is our first encounter with an observation that will be a recurrent theme of this book: many people are overconfident, prone to place too much faith in their intuitions. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Searching for wisdom in historic events requires an act of faith - a belief in the existence of recurrent patterns waiting to be discovered. -- Daniel Kahneman
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A recurrent theme of this book is that luck plays a large role in every story of success; -- Daniel Kahneman
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Expertise is not a single skill; it is a collection of skills, and the same professional may be highly expert in some of the tasks in her domain while remaining a novice in others. -- Daniel Kahneman
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A business commentator who correctly announces that "the business did better this year because it had done poorly last year" is likely to have a short tenure on the air. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Add-1 with four digits caused a larger dilation than the task of holding seven digits for immediate recall. Add-3, which is much more difficult, -- Daniel Kahneman
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It is only a slight exaggeration to say that happiness is the experience of spending time with people you love and who love you. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Some memories come with a very compelling sense of truth about them. And that happens to be the case even with memories that are not true. -- Daniel Kahneman
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I don't spend a lot of time taking polls around the world to tell me what I think is the right way to act. I've just got to know how I feel" (George W. Bush, November 2002). -- Daniel Kahneman
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In a rising market, enough of your bad ideas will pay off so that you'll never learn that you should have fewer ideas. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Through some combination of culture and biology, our minds are intuitively receptive to religion. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Courage is willingness to take the risk once you know the odds. Optimistic overconfidence means you are taking the risk because you don't know the odds. It's a big difference. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Overconfidence: As the WYSIATI rule implies, neither the quantity nor the quality of the evidence counts for much in subjective confidence. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Except for some effects that I attribute mostly to age, my intuitive thinking is just as prone to overconfidence, extreme predictions, and the planning fallacy as it was before I made a study of these issues. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The only difference between the two groups was that the students conceded that they were influenced by the anchor, while the professionals denied that influence. -- Daniel Kahneman
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People exaggerate their confidence in their plans - something we call the planning fallacy ... The existence of the plan tends to induce overconfidence. -- Daniel Kahneman
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To derive the most useful information from multiple sources of evidence, you should always try to make these sources independent of each other. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Freedom has a cost, which is borne by individuals who make bad choices, and by a society that feels obligated to help them. -- Daniel Kahneman
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higher income is associated with a reduced ability to enjoy the small pleasures of life. -- Daniel Kahneman
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And you should not expect much from pundits making long-term forecasts - although they may have valuable insights into the near future. The -- Daniel Kahneman
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it is much easier to strive for perfection when you are never bored. -- Daniel Kahneman
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If you consider how much you should pay for a house, you will be influenced by the asking price. The same house will appear more valuable if its listing price is high than if it is low, even if you are determined to resist the influence of this number; -- Daniel Kahneman
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Alternative descriptions of the same reality evoke different emotions and different associations. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Often, the most enjoyable part of an activity is the anticipation. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The worse the consequence, the greater the hindsight bias. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Some experimenters have reported that an angry face "pops out" of a crowd of happy faces, but a single happy face does not stand out in an angry crowd. The brains of humans and other animals contain a mechanism that is designed to give priority to bad news. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The often-used phrase "pay attention" is apt: you dispose of a limited budget of attention that you can allocate to activities, and if you try to you try to go beyond your budget, you will fail. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Managers think of themselves as captains of a ship on a stormy sea. Risk for them is danger, but they are fighting it, very controlled. -- Daniel Kahneman
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People are very complex. And for a psychologist, you get fascinated by the complexity of human beings, and that is what I have lived with, you know, in my career all of my life, is the complexity of human beings. -- Daniel Kahneman
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If people are failing, they look inept. If people are succeeding, they look strong and good and competent. That's the 'halo effect.' Your first impression of a thing sets up your subsequent beliefs. If the company looks inept to you, you may assume everything else they do is inept. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Indeed, there is evidence that people are more likely to be influenced by empty persuasive messages, such as commercials, when they are tired and depleted. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Many ideas happen to us. We have intuition, we have feeling, we have emotion, all of that happens, we don't decide to do it. We don't control it. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Jonathan Haidt said in another context, The emotional tail wags the rational dog. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The errors of a theory are rarely found in what it asserts explicitly; they hide in what it ignores or tacitly assumes. -- Daniel Kahneman
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My impression is that the elimination of memories greatly reduces the value of the experience. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The similarity was reassuring: the pupil was a good measure of the physical arousal that accompanies mental effort, and we could go ahead and use it to understand how the mind works. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The evidence is unequivocal, there's a great deal more luck than skill in people getting very rich. -- Daniel Kahneman
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People who face a difficult question often answer an easier one instead, without realizing it. -- Daniel Kahneman
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There's a tendency to look at investments in isolation. Investors focus on the risk of individual securities. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We are very influenced by completely automatic things that we have no control over, and we don't know we're doing it. -- Daniel Kahneman
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People just hate the idea of losing. Any loss, even a small one, is just so terrible to contemplate that they compensate by buying insurance, including totally absurd policies like air travel. -- Daniel Kahneman
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How do people make the judgments and how do they assign decision weights? We start from two simple answers, then qualify them. Here are the oversimplified answers: People overestimate the probabilities of unlikely events. People overweight unlikely events in their decisions. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Facts that challenge basic assumptions-and thereby threaten people's livelihood and self-esteem-are simply not absorbed. The mind does not digest them. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The illusion of skill is not only an individual aberration; it is deeply ingrained in the culture of the [investment management] industry. -- Daniel Kahneman
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However, attention can be moved away from an unwanted focus, primarily by focusing intently on another target. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Which the experimental participant leaned her head on a chin-and-forehead rest and stared at a camera while listening to prerecorded information and answering questions on the recorded beats of a metronome. The beats triggered an infrared flash every second, causing a -- Daniel Kahneman
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We are far too willing to reject the belief that much of what we see in life is random. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Experts who acknowledge the full extent of their ignorance may expect to be replaced by more confident competitors, who are better able to gain the trust of clients. An unbiased appreciation of uncertainty is a cornerstone of rationality - but it is not what people and organizations want. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The test of learning psychology is whether your understanding of situations you encounter has changed, not whether you have learned a new fact. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Employers who violate rules of fairness are punished by reduced productivity, and merchants who follow unfair pricing policies can expect to lose sales. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Changing one's mind about human nature is hard work, and changing one's mind for the worse about oneself is even harder. Nisbett -- Daniel Kahneman
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It is the consistency of the information that matters for a good story, not its completeness. -- Daniel Kahneman
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You should expect little or nothing from Wall Street stock pickers who hope to be more accurate than the market in predicting the future of prices. And you should not expect much from pundits making long-term forecasts. -- Daniel Kahneman
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What happens with fear is that probability doesn't matter very much. That is, once I have raised the possibility that something terrible can happen to your child, even though the possibility is remote, you may find it very difficult to think of anything else. Emotion becomes dominant. -- Daniel Kahneman
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prepared for the future as you could be. An odd feature of what happened is that your System 1 treated the mere conjunction of -- Daniel Kahneman
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Their recommendation is that you should not put too much weight on regret; even if you have some, it will hurt less than you now think. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Intense focusing on a task can make people effectively blind, even to stimuli that -- Daniel Kahneman
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Learning medicine consists in part of learning the language of medicine. A deeper understanding of judgments and choices also requires a richer vocabulary than is available in everyday language. -- Daniel Kahneman
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I would not advise people to buy a car or house without making a list. You will probably improve your intuitions by making a list and then sleeping on it. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The question we face is whether this candidate can succeed. The question we seem to answer is whether she interviews well. Let's not substitute. -- Daniel Kahneman
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You inability to reconstruct past beliefs will inevitably cause you to underestimate the extent to which you were surprised by past events. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The most effortful forms of slow thinking are those that require you to think fast. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Now suppose that at the end of the page you get another instruction: count all the commas in the next page. This will be harder, because you will have to overcome the newly acquired tendency to focus attention on the letter f. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Odd as it may seem, I am my remembering self, and the experiencing self, who does my living, is like a stranger to me. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Many people are overconfident, prone to place too much faith in their intuitions. They apparently find cognitive effort at least mildly unpleasant and avoid it as much as possible. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The technical definition of heuristic is a simple procedure that helps find adequate, though often imperfect, answers to difficult questions. The word comes from the same root as eureka. -- Daniel Kahneman
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There's a very good reason for why economics developed the way it did, and that is that in many situations, the assumption that people will exploit the opportunities available to them is very plausible, and it simplifies the analysis of how markets will behave. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We don't see very far in the future, we are very focused on one idea at a time, one problem at a time, and all these are incompatible with rationality as economic theory assumes it. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The observers almost never missed a K that was shown at the beginning or near the end of the Add-1 task but they missed the target almost half the time when mental effort was at its peak, although we had pictures of their wide-open eye staring straight at it. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Most of the moments of our life - and I calculated, you know, the psychological present is said to be about three seconds long; that means that, you know, in a life there are about 600 million of them; in a month, there are about 600,000 - most of them don't leave a trace. -- Daniel Kahneman
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If you can't take the time for a vacation right now, or even a night out with friends, put something on the calendar - even if it's a month or a year down the road. Then whenever you need a boost of happiness, remind yourself about it. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We have associations to things. We have, you know, we have associations to tables and to - and to dogs and to cats and to Harvard professors, and that's the way the mind works. It's an association machine. -- Daniel Kahneman
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When people think of the outcomes of their decisions, they think much more short term than that. They think in terms of gains and losses. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Each additional day together is a gift. The end of the day means the end of hostilities, the recognition that the underlying shared values and commitment to the relationship trump the need for one last dig or self-righteous justification. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The world makes much less sense than you think. The coherence comes mostly from the way your mind works. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Highly intelligent women tend to marry men who are less intelligent than they are. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Ten minutes of a smartphone in front of your nose is about the equivalent of an hour long walk in bright daylight. Imagine going for an hour long walk in bright daylight and then thinking, "Now I'll get some sleep." It ain't going to happen. -- Daniel Kahneman
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While writing the article that reported these findings, Amos and I discovered that we enjoyed working together. -- Daniel Kahneman
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It is wrong to blame anyone for failing to forecast accurately in an unpredictable world. However, it seems fair to blame professionals for believing they can succeed in an impossible task. Claims -- Daniel Kahneman
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Put your ideas in verse if you can; they will be more likely to be taken as truth. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Most successful pundits are selected for being opinionated, because it's interesting, and the penalties for incorrect predictions are negligible. You can make predictions, and a year later people won't remember them. -- Daniel Kahneman
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It's not a case of: 'Read this book and then you'll think differently. I've written this book, and I don't think differently. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The general tendency to overestimate the probability of conjunctive events leads to unwarranted optimism in the evaluation of the likelihood that a plan will succeed or that a project will be completed on time. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Whether professionals have a chance to develop intuitive expertise depends essentially on the quality and speed of feedback, as well as on sufficient opportunity to practice. -- Daniel Kahneman
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More advice: if your message is to be printed, use high-quality paper to maximize the contrast between characters and their background. If you use color, you are more likely to be believed if your text is printed in bright blue or red than in middling shades of green, yellow, or pale blue. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Amos and I introduced the idea of a conjunction fallacy, which people commit when they judge a conjunction of two events (here, bank teller and feminist) to be more probable than one of the events (bank teller) in a direct comparison. -- Daniel Kahneman
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More than 50% of students at Harvard, MIT, and Princeton gave the intuitive - incorrect - answer. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Jeremy Bentham opened his Introduction to the Principles of Morals and Legislation with the famous sentence Nature has placed mankind under the governance of two sovereign masters, pain and pleasure. It is for them alone to point out what we ought to do, as well as to determine what we shall do. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We are often confident even when we are wrong, and an objective observer is more likely to detect our errors than we are. -- Daniel Kahneman
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One thing we have lost, that we had in the past, is a sense of progress, that things are getting better. There is a sense of volatility, but not of progress. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Simple, common gestures can also unconsciously influence our thoughts and feelings. -- Daniel Kahneman
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What people acquire with a ticket is more than a chance to win; it is the right to dream pleasantly of winning. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Endlessly amused by people's minds. -- Daniel Kahneman
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regression inevitably occurs when the correlation between two measures is less than perfect, -- Daniel Kahneman
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Most things that couples disagree upon aren't worth more than a day's combat ... -- Daniel Kahneman
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Frequently mentioned topics populate the mind even as others slip away from awareness. In turn, what the media choose to report corresponds to their view of what is currently on the public's mind. It is no accident that authoritarian regimes exert substantial pressure on independent media. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Whenever we can replace human judgment by a formula, we should at least consider it. -- Daniel Kahneman
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are less confident in a choice when they are asked to produce more arguments to support it -- Daniel Kahneman
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Multiple international bodies have specified that the absence of scientific evidence of potential damage is not sufficient justification for taking risks. As the jurist Cass Sunstein points out, the precautionary principle is costly, and when interpreted strictly it can be paralyzing. -- Daniel Kahneman
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And want is difficult at the best of times, and especially difficult when we most need to do it, but we can benefit -- Daniel Kahneman
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Unlike cognitive load, ego depletion is at least in part a loss of motivation. After exerting self-control in one task, you do not feel like making an effort in another, although you could do it if you really had to. In -- Daniel Kahneman
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A reliable way to make people believe in falsehoods is frequent repetition, because familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth. Authoritarian institutions and marketers have always known this fact. -- Daniel Kahneman
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A reliable way of making people believe in falsehoods is frequent repetition, because familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Intuitive errors are normally much more frequent among ego-depleted people, and the drinkers of Splenda showed the expected depletion effect. On the other hand, the glucose drinkers were not depleted. Restoring the level of available sugar in the brain had prevented the deterioration of performance. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Those who avoid the sin of intellectual sloth could be called "engaged." They are more alert, more intellectually active, less willing to be satisfied with superficially attractive answers, more skeptical about their intuitions. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Optimism is normal, but some fortunate people are more optimistic than the rest of us. If you are genetically endowed with an optimistic bias, you hardly need to be told that you are a lucky person - you already feel fortunate. -- Daniel Kahneman
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If owning stocks is a long-term project for you, following their changes constantly is a very, very bad idea. It's the worst possible thing you can do, because people are so sensitive to short-term losses. If you count your money every day, you'll be miserable. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The rules of the betting are intelligent: recent events and the current context have the most weight in determining an interpretation. When no recent event comes to mind, more distant memories govern. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Baumeister's group has repeatedly found that an effort of will or self-control is tiring; if you have had to force yourself to do something, you are less willing or less able to exert self-control when the next challenge comes around. The phenomenon has been named ego depletion. In -- Daniel Kahneman
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Organizations may be better able to tame optimism than individuals are. -- Daniel Kahneman
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So your emotional state really has a lot to do with what you're thinking about and what you're paying attention to. -- Daniel Kahneman
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However, the ability to control attention is not simply a measure of intelligence; measures of efficiency in the control of attention predict performance of air traffic controllers and of Israeli Air Force pilots beyond the effects of intelligence. -- Daniel Kahneman
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I think one of the major results of the psychology of decision making is that people's attitudes and feelings about losses and gains are really not symmetric. So we really feel more pain when we lose $10,000 than we feel pleasure when we get $10,000. -- Daniel Kahneman
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One emphasis of my research has been on the question of how people spend their time. Time is the ultimate finite resource, or course, so the question of how people spend it would seem to be important. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Rewards for improved performance work better than punishment of mistakes. This proposition is supported by much evidence from research on pigeons, rats, humans, and other animals. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Many people will admit that they made a mistake [putting money in dot-coms or telecoms at their peak] But that doesn't mean that they've changed their mind about anything in particular. It doesn't mean that they are now able to avoid that mistake. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Walter Mischel and his students exposed four-year-old children to a cruel dilemma. They were given a choice between a small reward (one Oreo), which they could have at any time, or a larger reward (two cookies) for which they had to wait 15 minutes under difficult conditions. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The moral is significant: when System 2 is otherwise engaged, we will believe almost anything. System 1 is gullible and biased to believe, System 2 is in charge of doubting and unbelieving, but System 2 is sometimes busy, and often lazy. Indeed, -- Daniel Kahneman
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The selective activation of compatible memories explains anchoring: the high and the low numbers activate different sets of ideas in memory. The estimates of annual temperature draw on these biased samples of ideas and are therefore biased as well. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Suppose you like someone very much. Then, by a familiar halo effect, you will also be prone to believe many good things about that person - you will be biased in their favor. Most of us like ourselves very much, and that suffices to explain self-assessments that are biased in a particular direction. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The "Florida effect" involves two stages of priming. First, the set of words primes thoughts of old age, though the word old is never mentioned; second, these thoughts prime a behavior, walking slowly, which is associated with old age. All this happens without any awareness. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We're generally overconfident in our opinions and our impressions and judgments. -- Daniel Kahneman
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I enjoy being active, but I look forward to the day when I can retire to the Internet. -- Daniel Kahneman
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supported by a powerful professional culture. We know that people can maintain an unshakable faith in any proposition, however absurd, when they are sustained by a community of like-minded believers. Given -- Daniel Kahneman
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Philip Tetlock, a psychologist at the University of Pennsylvania, explored these so-called expert predictions in a landmark twenty-year study, which he published in his 2005 book Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? -- Daniel Kahneman
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Caring for people often takes the form of concern for the quality of their stories, not for their feelings. -- Daniel Kahneman
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People like leaders who look like they are dominant, optimistic, friendly to their friends, and quick on the trigger when it comes to enemies. They like boldness and despise the appearance of timidity and protracted doubt. -- Daniel Kahneman
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the proper way to elicit information from a group is not by starting with a public discussion but by confidentially collecting each person's judgment. This procedure makes better use of the knowledge available to members of the group than the common practice of open discussion. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The events that took place as a result of your seeing the words happened by a process called associative activation: ideas that have been evoked trigger many other ideas, in a spreading cascade of activity in your brain. The -- Daniel Kahneman
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If you think in terms of major losses, because losses loom much larger than gains - that's a very well-established finding - you tend to be very risk-averse. When you think in terms of wealth, you tend to be much less risk-averse. -- Daniel Kahneman
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In an article titled "Consequences of Erudite Vernacular Utilized Irrespective of Necessity: Problems with Using Long Words Needlessly," he showed that couching familiar ideas in pretentious language is taken as a sign of poor intelligence and low credibility. -- Daniel Kahneman
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A large portion of the weekend effects is explained by differences in the amount of time spent with friends or family between weekends and weekdays. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The mind is good with stories, but it does not appear to be well designed for the processing of time. -- Daniel Kahneman
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luck plays a large role in every story of success; it is almost always easy to identify a small change in the story that would have turned a remarkable achievement into a mediocre outcome. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The answer was straightforward: instances of the class will be retrieved from memory, and if retrieval is easy and fluent, the category will be judged to be large. We defined the availability heuristic as the process of judging frequency by the ease with which instances come to mind. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Systematic errors are known as biases, and they recur predictably in particular circumstances. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Groups tend to be more extreme than individuals. -- Daniel Kahneman
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An inability to be guided by a "healthy fear" of bad consequences is a disastrous flaw. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The characters are useful because of some quirks of our minds, yours and mine. A sentence is understood more easily if it describes what an agent (system 2) does than if it describes what something is, what properties it has. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Knowing little makes it easier to fit everything you know into a coherent pattern. -- Daniel Kahneman
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This is the essence of intuitive heuristics: when faced with a difficult question, we often answer an easier one instead, usually without noticing the substitution. -- Daniel Kahneman
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By their very nature, heuristic shortcuts will produce biases, and that is true for both humans and artificial intelligence, but the heuristics of AI are not necessarily the human ones. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Self-control and deliberate thought apparently draw on the same limited budget of effort.... This is how the law of least effort comes to be a law. Even in the absence of time pressure, maintaining a coherent train of thought requires discipline. -- Daniel Kahneman
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You can always find an evolutionary quotation for anything. But the question is whether it's functional, which is not the same as being evolutionary. -- Daniel Kahneman
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How many animals of each kind did Moses take into the ark? -- Daniel Kahneman
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Adaptation seems to be, to a substantial extent, a process of reallocating your attention. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Mental effort, I would argue, is relatively rare. Most of the time we coast. -- Daniel Kahneman
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When people evaluate their life, they compare themselves to a standard of what a successful life is, and it turns out that standard tends to be universal: People in Togo and Denmark have the same idea of what a good life is, and a lot of that has to do with money and material prosperity. -- Daniel Kahneman
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People's mood is really determined primarily by their genetic make-up and personality, and in the second place by their immediate context, and only in the third and fourth place by worries and concerns and other things like that. -- Daniel Kahneman
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A compelling narrative fosters an illusion of inevitability. -- Daniel Kahneman
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After a crisis we tell ourselves we understand why it happened and maintain the illusion that the world is understandable. In fact, we should accept the world is incomprehensible much of the time. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Question: So investors shouldn't delude themselves about beating the market? Answer: "They're just not going to do it. It's just not going to happen." -- Daniel Kahneman
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The best we can do is a compromise: learn to recognize situations in which mistakes are likely and try harder to avoid significant mistakes when the stakes are high. -- Daniel Kahneman
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I used to hold a unitary view, in which I proposed that only experienced happiness matters, and that life satisfaction is a fallible estimate of true happiness. -- Daniel Kahneman
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If there is time to reflect, slowing down is likely to be a good idea. -- Daniel Kahneman
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If you're going to be unreligious, it's likely going to be due to reflecting on it and finding some things that are hard to believe. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We know that the French are very different from the Americans in their satisfaction with life. They're much less satisfied. Americans are pretty high up there, while the French are quite low - the world champions in life satisfaction are actually the Danes. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Intuitive diagnosis is reliable when people have a lot of relevant feedback. But people are very often willing to make intuitive diagnoses even when they're very likely to be wrong. -- Daniel Kahneman
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You're surprised by something, but you don't really know what surprised you; you recognize someone, but you don't really know what cues cause you to recognize that person. -- Daniel Kahneman
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To think clearly about the future, we need to clean up the language that we use in labeling the beliefs we had in the past. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The easiest way to increase happiness is to control your use of time. -- Daniel Kahneman
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A divorce is like a symphony with a screeching sound at the end - the fact that it ended badly does not mean it was all bad. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The world in our heads is not a precise replica of reality; our expectations about the frequency of events are distorted by the prevalence and emotional intensity of the messages to which we are exposed. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Optimistic people play a disproportionate role in shaping our lives. Their decisions make a difference; they are inventors, entrepreneurs, political and military leaders - not average people. They got to where they are by seeking challenges and taking risks. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Being wealthy is often a powerful predictor that people spend less time doing pleasurable things and more time doing compulsory things and feeling stressed. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The statement "Hitler loved dogs and little children" is shocking no matter how many times you hear it, because any trace of kindness in someone so evil violates the expectations set up by the halo effect. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Much of the discussion in this book is about biases of intuition. However, the focus on error does not denigrate human intelligence, any more than the attention to diseases in medical texts denies good health. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Daniel Kahneman is one of the most original and interesting thinkers of our time. -- Daniel Kahneman
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If you care about being thought credible and intelligent, do not use complex language where simpler language will do. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We have no reason to expect the quality of intuition to improve with the importance of the problem. Perhaps the contrary: high-stake problems are likely to involve powerful emotions and strong impulses to action. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Doubts are suppressed by groups ... But remember that the internal incentives that shape how the group perceives risks and rewards may be very different from the reality of the risks and rewards in the external marketplace. Those incentives can distort risk perception. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Happiness is determined by factors like your health, your family relationships and friendships, and above all by feeling that you are in control of how you spend your time. -- Daniel Kahneman
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a stable relationship requires that good interactions outnumber bad interactions by at least 5 to 1. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The Affect Heuristic The dominance of conclusions over arguments is most pronounced where emotions are involved. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Bazaar shoppers who wear dark glasses in order to hide their level of interest from merchants. -- Daniel Kahneman
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When experts and the public disagree on their priorities, he says, Each side must respect the insights and intelligence of the other. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The explanatory stories that people find compelling are simple; are concrete rather than abstract; assign a larger role to talent, stupidity, and intentions than to luck; and focus on a few striking events that happened rather than on the countless events that failed to happen. -- Daniel Kahneman
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In everyday speech, we call people reasonable if it is possible to reason with them, if their beliefs are generally in tune with reality, and if their preferences are in line with their interests and their values. The -- Daniel Kahneman
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Poignancy (a close cousin of regret) is a counterfactual feeling, which -- Daniel Kahneman
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We have a very narrow view of what is going on. -- Daniel Kahneman
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It's clear that policymakers and economists are going to be interested in the measurement of well-being primarily as it correlates with health; they also want to know whether researchers can validate subjective responses with physiological indices. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The brain scientists are the wave of the future in the financial world. If you seek to maximize understanding, whether you're in academia or in the investment community, you'd better pay serious attention to them. -- Daniel Kahneman
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People who know math understand what other mortals understand, but other mortals do not understand them. This asymmetry gives them a presumption of superior ability. -- Daniel Kahneman
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For the billionaire looking for the extra billion, and indeed for the participant in an experimental economics project looking for the extra dollar, money is a proxy for points on a scale of self-regard and achievement. These rewards and punishments, promises and threats, are all in our heads. -- Daniel Kahneman
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People who are cognitively busy are also more likely to make selfish choices, use sexist language, and make superficial judgments in social situations. -- Daniel Kahneman
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In another paper, titled "Boys Will Be Boys," they showed that men acted on their useless ideas significantly more often than women, and that as a result women achieved better investment results than men. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Experienced radiologists who evaluate chest X-rays as "normal" or "abnormal" contradict themselves 20% of the time when they see the same picture on separate occasions. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Because we tend to be nice to other people when they please us and nasty when they do not, we are statistically punished for being nice and rewarded for being nasty. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The reliance on the heuristic caused predictable biases (systematic errors) in their predictions. -- Daniel Kahneman
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There is research on the effects of 9/11, and you know, compared to the enormity of it, it didn't have a huge effect on people's mood. They were going about their business, mostly. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The bold implication of this idea is that the effects of ego depletion could be undone by ingesting glucose, and Baumeister and his colleagues have confirmed this hypothesis in several experiments. -- Daniel Kahneman
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You have no compelling moral intuitions to guide you in solving that problem. Your moral feelings are attached to frames, to descriptions of reality rather than to reality itself. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Something is still missing from this story: the answers need to be fitted to the original questions. -- Daniel Kahneman
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but statistics requires thinking about many things at once, which is something that System 1 is not designed to do. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Establish a closing ritual. Know when to stop working. Try to end each work day the same way, too. Straighten up your desk. Back up your computer. Make a list of what you need to do tomorrow. -- Daniel Kahneman
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One of the major biases in risky decision making is optimism. Optimism is a source of high-risk thinking. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Money does not buy you happiness, but lack of money certainly buys you misery. -- Daniel Kahneman
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They added a cheap gift to the expensive product, and made the whole deal less attractive. Less is more in this case. -- Daniel Kahneman
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You felt the burden of holding much material in memory, as you needed to keep track of where you were and of where you were going, while holding on to the intermediate result. -- Daniel Kahneman
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A general limitation of the human mind is its imperfect ability to reconstruct past states of knowledge, or beliefs that have changed. Once you adopt a new view of the world (or any part of it), you immediately lose much of your ability to recall what you used to believe before your mind changed. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We're beautiful devices. The devices work well; we're all experts in what we do. But when the mechanism fails, those failures can tell you a lot about how the mind works. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Nothing in life is as important as you think it is, while you are thinking about it -- Daniel Kahneman
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Psychologists really aim to be scientists, white-coat stuff, with elaborate statistics, running experiments. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The sunk-cost fallacy keeps people for too long in poor jobs, unhappy marriages, and unpromising research projects. -- Daniel Kahneman
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People assign much higher probability to the truth of their opinions than is warranted. -- Daniel Kahneman
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When you look at the books about well-being, you see one word - it's happiness. People do not distinguish. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Individual investors predictably flock to stocks in companies that are in the news. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The testers found that training attention not only improved executive control; scores on nonverbal tests of intelligence also improved and the improvement was maintained for several months. -- Daniel Kahneman
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I have always emphasized the willingness to discard. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Banks are run by executives, and executives protect themselves, and that does not always mean that banks are going to behave rationally. -- Daniel Kahneman
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When people believe a conclusion is true, they are also very likely to believe arguments that appear to support it, even when these arguments are unsound. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The halo effect discussed earlier contributes to coherence, because it inclines us to match our view of all the qualities of a person to our judgment of one attribute that is particularly significant. If -- Daniel Kahneman
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There are distinctive patterns in the errors people make. Systematic errors are known as biases, and they recur predictably in particular circumstances.... The availability of a diagnostic label for this bias--the halo effect--makes it easier to anticipate, recognize, and understand. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The confidence people have in their beliefs is not a measure of the quality of evidence but of the coherence of the story the mind has managed to construct. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We are prone to blame decision makers for good decisions that worked out badly and to give them too little credit for successful moves that appear obvious only after the fact. -- Daniel Kahneman
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If there was one ubiquitous recommendation about marriage it was this: "Don't go to bed angry." -- Daniel Kahneman
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Recipe for a dissatisfied adulthood is setting goals that are especially difficult to attain. Measured by life satisfaction 20 years later, the least promising goal that a young person could have was becoming accomplished in a performing art. -- Daniel Kahneman
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I was surprised to see that the pupil remained small and did not noticeably dilate as she talked and listened. Unlike the tasks that we were studying, the mundane conversation apparently demanded little or no effort - no more than retaining two or three digits. -- Daniel Kahneman
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For one thing, it helps us see the logical consistency of Human preferences for what it is - a hopeless mirage -- Daniel Kahneman
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If a satisfactory answer to a hard question is not found quickly, System 1 will find a related question that is easier and will answer it. I call the operation of answering one question in place of another substitution. -- Daniel Kahneman
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the line between what clinicians can do well and what they cannot do at all well is not obvious, and certainly not obvious to them. -- Daniel Kahneman
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You think with your body, not with your brain. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Researchers who pick too small a sample leave themselves at the mercy of sampling luck. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The psychologist Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi (pronounced six-cent-mihaly) has done -- Daniel Kahneman
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Spend some effort in figuring out why each decision did or did not pan out. Doing that systematically is key: really try to question the way you make decisions, and improve it. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We think of our future as anticipated memories. -- Daniel Kahneman
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I don't try to be clever at all. The idea that I could see what no one else can is an illusion. -- Daniel Kahneman
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If people do not know what is going to make them better off or give them pleasure, then the idea that you can trust people to do what will give them pleasure becomes questionable. -- Daniel Kahneman
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My interest in well-being evolved from my interest in decision making - from raising the question of whether people know what they will want in the future and whether the things that people want for themselves will make them happy. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Unless you are a professional, however, you may not react very differently to a sample of 150 and to a sample of 3,000. That is the meaning of the statement that people are not adequately sensitive to sample size. -- Daniel Kahneman
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A person who has not made peace with his losses is likely to accept gambles that would be unacceptable to him otherwise. -- Daniel Kahneman
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It was beyond imagining that bad font influences judgments of truth and improves cognitive performance, or that an emotional response to the cognitive ease of a triad of words mediates impressions of coherence. Psychology has come a long way. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We can't live in a state of perpetual doubt, so we make up the best story possible and we live as if the story were true. -- Daniel Kahneman
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An individual who expresses high confidence probably has a good story, which may or may not be true. -- Daniel Kahneman
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To better avoid errors, you should talk to people who disagree with you and you should talk to people who are not in the same emotional situation you are. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Political columnists and sports pundits are rewarded for being overconfident. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We must be inclined to believe it because it has been repeated so often, but let's think it through again. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Loss aversion is a powerful conservative force that favors minimal changes from the status quo -- Daniel Kahneman
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Many decisions are based on beliefs concerning the likelihood of uncertain events such as the outcome of an election, the guilt of a defendant, or the future value of the dollar. -- Daniel Kahneman
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People should be conscious of the large contribution made by anything that gets people together easily in the reduction of loneliness and emotional well-being. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Although professionals are able to extract a considerable amount of wealth from amateurs, few stock pickers, if any, have the skill needed to beat the market consistently, year after year. -- Daniel Kahneman
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the frame that has traditionally been used in the United States - miles per gallon - provides very poor guidance to the decisions of both individuals and policy makers. -- Daniel Kahneman
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An essential design feature of the associative machine is that it represents only activated ideas. Information that is not retrieved (even unconsciously) from memory might as well not exist. -- Daniel Kahneman
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As you consider the next question, please assume that Steve was selected at random from a representative sample: -- Daniel Kahneman
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One study found that people who just thought about watching their favorite movie actually raised their endorphin levels by 27 percent. -- Daniel Kahneman
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It's very easy for trusted companies to mislead naive customers, and life insurance companies are trusted. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Conflict between an automatic reaction and an intention to control it is common in our lives. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Our comforting conviction that the world makes sense rests on a secure foundation: our almost unlimited ability to ignore our ignorance. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Most people are highly optimistic most of the time. -- Daniel Kahneman
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An investment said to have an 80% chance of success sounds far more attractive than one with a 20% chance of failure. The mind can't easily recognize that they are the same. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Adam switches from a gas-guzzler of 12 mpg to a slightly less voracious guzzler that runs at 14 mpg. The environmentally virtuous Beth switches from a 30 mpg car to one that runs at 40 mpg. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Asymmetric intensity of the motives to avoid losses and to achieve gains shows up almost everywhere. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Hindsight bias makes surprises vanish. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Most importantly, of course, we all care intensely for the narrative of our own life and very much want it to be a good story, with a decent hero. -- Daniel Kahneman
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People have little idea, by and large, of the investment world. They are convinced they have an advantage. -- Daniel Kahneman
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automatic search for causes shapes our thinking, -- Daniel Kahneman
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Why be concerned with gossip? Because it is much easier, as well as far more enjoyable, to identify and label the mistakes of others than to recognize our own. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Because it is much easier, as well as far more enjoyable, to identify and label the mistakes of others than to recognize our own. Questioning what we believe and want is difficult at the -- Daniel Kahneman
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When action is needed, optimism, even of the mildly delusional variety, may be a good thing. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The media do not just shape what the public is interested in, but also are shaped by it. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Negotiations over a shrinking pie are especially difficult because they require an allocation of losses. People tend to be much more easygoing when they bargain over an expanding pie. -- Daniel Kahneman
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puzzling limitation of our mind: our excessive confidence in what we believe we know, and our apparent inability to acknowledge the full extent of our ignorance and the uncertainty of the world we live in. We -- Daniel Kahneman
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Friends are sometimes a big help when they share your feelings. In the context of decisions, the friends who will serve you best are those who understand your feelings but are not overly impressed by them. -- Daniel Kahneman
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In most situations, a direct comparison makes people more careful and more logical. But not always. Sometimes intuition beats logic even when the correct answer stares you in the face. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The confidence that individuals have in their beliefs depends mostly on the quality of the story they can tell about what they see, even if they see little. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Evaluating people as attractive or not is a basic assessment. You do that automatically whether or not you want to, and it influences you. -- Daniel Kahneman
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When you analyze happiness, it turns out that the way you spend your time is extremely important. -- Daniel Kahneman
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There's a lot of randomness in the decisions that people make. -- Daniel Kahneman
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All of us would be better investors if we just made fewer decisions. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Acquisition of skills requires a regular environment, an adequate opportunity to practice, and rapid and unequivocal feedback about the correctness of thoughts and actions. -- Daniel Kahneman
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if you have had to force yourself to do something, you are less willing or less able to exert self-control when the next challenge comes around. The phenomenon has been named ego depletion. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Your muscles tensed up, your blood pressure rose, and your heart rate increased. Someone looking closely at your eyes while you tackled this problem would have seen your pupils dilate. -- Daniel Kahneman
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It was always assumed I would be a professor. I grew up thinking it. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Yes, there is a burden of financial insecurity. I don't think you find it in mood. Income is correlated with life satisfaction, so maybe you do find it in life satisfaction. You don't find it in mood, and I think it is very important. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Facts that we know do not always come to mind when we need them. People -- Daniel Kahneman
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Maintaining one's vigilance against biases is a chore - but the chance to avoid a costly mistake is sometimes worth the effort. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Slow thinking has the feeling of something you do. It's deliberate. -- Daniel Kahneman
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living in a culture that surrounds us with reminders of money may shape our behavior and our attitudes in ways that we do not know about -- Daniel Kahneman
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The psychologist, Paul Rozin, an expert on disgust, observed that a single cockroach will completely wreck the appeal of a bowl of cherries, but a cherry will do nothing at all for a bowl of cockroaches. -- Daniel Kahneman
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All roses are flowers. Some flowers fade quickly. Therefore some roses fade quickly. A large majority of college students endorse this syllogism as valid. In fact the argument is flawed, because it is possible that there are no roses among the flowers that fade quickly. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Belief in the Law of Small Numbers. -- Daniel Kahneman
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It doesn't take many observations to think you've spotted a trend, and it's probably not a trend at all. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The premise of this book is that it is easier to recognize other people's mistakes than our own. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Your mind is ready and even eager to identify agents, assign them personality traits and specific intentions, and view their actions as expressing individual propensities. Here -- Daniel Kahneman
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Nisbett and Borgida summarize the results in a memorable sentence: Subjects' unwillingness to deduce the particular from the general was matched only by their willingness to infer the general from the particular. -- Daniel Kahneman
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That people can maintain an unshakable faith in any proposition, however absurd, when they are sustained by a community of like-minded believers. -- Daniel Kahneman
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You can do several things at once, but only if they are easy and undemanding. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The experiencing self lives its life continuously. It has moments of experience, one after the other. -- Daniel Kahneman
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What makes some cognitive operations more demanding and effortful than others? What outcomes must we purchase in the currency of attention? What can System 2 do that System 1 cannot? We now have tentative answers to these questions. -- Daniel Kahneman
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You can see why the common admonition to "act calm and kind regardless of how you feel" is very good advice: you are likely to be rewarded by actually feeling calm and kind. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Clearly, the decision-making that we rely on in society is fallible. It's highly fallible, and we should know that. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Modern tests of working memory require the individual to switch repeatedly between two demanding tasks, retaining the results of one operation while performing the other. People who do well on these tests tend to do well on tests of general intelligence. -- Daniel Kahneman
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In the presence of randomness, regular patterns can only be mirages. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Intelligence is not only the ability to reason; it is also the ability to find relevant material in memory and to deploy attention when needed. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We associate leadership with decisiveness. That perception of leadership pushes people to make decisions fairly quickly, lest they be seen as dithering and indecisive. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Human beings cannot comprehend very large or very small numbers. It would be useful for us to acknowledge that fact. -- Daniel Kahneman
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A team of researchers at the University of Oregon explored the link between cognitive control and intelligence in several ways, including an attempt to raise intelligence by improving the control of attention. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Once you have accepted a theory and used it as a tool in your thinking, it is extraordinarily difficult to notice its flaws. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We think, each of us, that we're much more rational than we are. And we think that we make our decisions because we have good reasons to make them. Even when it's the other way around. We believe in the reasons, because we've already made the decision. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Our predilection for causal thinking exposes us to serious mistakes in evaluating the randomness of truly random events. -- Daniel Kahneman
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It's very difficult to distinguish between what a person believes and what they say they believe. -- Daniel Kahneman
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People adjust less (stay closer to the anchor) when their mental resources are depleted, either because their memory is loaded with digits or because they are slightly drunk. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Economists think about what people ought to do. Psychologists watch what they actually do. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Although System 2 believes itself to be where the action is, the automatic System 1 is the hero of the book. I describe System 1 as effortlessly originating impressions and feelings that are the main sources of the explicit beliefs and deliberate choices of System 2. The -- Daniel Kahneman
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As expected, the effect of facial competence on voting is about three times larger for information-poor and TV-prone voters than for others who are better informed and watch less television. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We could ask about anything; the only constraint was that the questionnaire should include at least one mention of fish, to make it pertinent to the mission of the department. This went on for many months, and we treated ourselves to an orgy of data collection. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The extra daily social time of 1.7 hours in weekends raises average happiness by about 2%. -- Daniel Kahneman
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It's nonsense to say money doesn't buy happiness, but people exaggerate the extent to which more money can buy more happiness. -- Daniel Kahneman
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It's a wonderful thing to be optimistic. It keeps you healthy and it keeps you resilient. -- Daniel Kahneman
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All of us roughly know what memory is. I mean, memory is sort of the storage of the past. It's the storage of our personal experiences. It's a very big deal. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Policy makers, like most people, normally feel that they already know all the psychology and all the sociology they are likely to need for their decisions. I don't think they are right, but that's the way it is. -- Daniel Kahneman
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There are domains in which expertise is not possible. Stock picking is a good example. And in long-term political strategic forecasting, it's been shown that experts are just not better than a dice-throwing monkey. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Nobody would say, 'I'm voting for this guy because he's got the stronger chin,' but that, in fact, is partly what happens. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Let's not fall for the outcome bias. This was a stupid decision even though it worked out well. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Survival prospects are poor for an animal that is not suspicious of novelty. -- Daniel Kahneman
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To be a good diagnostician, a physician needs to acquire a large set of labels for diseases, each of which binds an idea of the illness and its symptoms, possible antecedents and causes, possible developments and consequences, and possible interventions to cure or mitigate the illness. -- Daniel Kahneman
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You are more likely to learn something by finding surprises in your own behavior than by hearing surprising facts about people in general. -- Daniel Kahneman
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There is a huge wave of interest in happiness among researchers. There is a lot of happiness coaching. Everybody would like to make people happier. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The idea that the future is unpredictable is undermined every day by the ease with which the past is explained. -- Daniel Kahneman
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People are really happier with friends than they are with their families or their spouse or their child. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The 'Instagram Generation' now experiences the present as an anticipated memory. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Controlling thoughts and behaviors is one of the tasks that System 2 performs. -- Daniel Kahneman
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In a state of flow, however, maintaining focused attention on these absorbing activities requires no exertion of self-control, thereby freeing resources to be directed to the task at hand. -- Daniel Kahneman
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You make many small decisions as you drive your car, absorb some information as you read the newspaper, and conduct routine exchanges of pleasantries with a spouse or a colleague, all with little effort and no strain. Just like a stroll. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Remember this rule: intuition cannot be trusted in the absence of stable regularities in the environment. -- Daniel Kahneman
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They didn't want more information that might spoil their story. WYSIATI. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The tasks that we studied varied considerably in their effects on the pupil. At baseline, our subjects were awake, aware, and ready to engage in a task - probably at a higher level of arousal and cognitive readiness than usual. -- Daniel Kahneman
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for most people, the cause of a mistake matters. The -- Daniel Kahneman
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System 1 represents sets by averages, norms, and prototypes, not by sums. Each -- Daniel Kahneman
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Questioning what we believe and want is difficult at the best of times, -- Daniel Kahneman
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Divorced women, compared to married women, are less satisfied with their lives, which is not surprising. But they're actually more cheerful, when you look at the average mood they're in in the course of the day. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The prediction of the future is not distinguished from an evaluation of current evidence - prediction matches evaluation. This is perhaps the best evidence we have for the role of substitution. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The evidence of priming studies suggests that reminding people of their mortality increases the appeal of authoritarian ideas, which may become reassuring in the context of the terror of death. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Most of the time, we think fast. And most of the time we're really expert at what we're doing, and most of the time, what we do is right. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Perception of intention and emotion is irresistible; only people afflicted by autism do not experience it. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Not all illusions are visual. There are illusions of thought, which we call cognitive illusions. -- Daniel Kahneman
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In essence, the optimistic style involves taking credit for successes but little blame for failures. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The conclusion is straightforward : self-control requires attention and effort. -- Daniel Kahneman
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There is general agreement among researchers that nearly all stock pickers, whether they know it or not-and few of them do-are playing a game of chance. -- Daniel Kahneman
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People talk of the new economy and of reinventing themselves in the workplace, and in that sense most of us are less secure. -- Daniel Kahneman
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To be useful, your beliefs should be constrained by the logic of probability. -- Daniel Kahneman
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I'm not a great believer in self-help. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We're not aware of changing our minds even when we do change our minds. And most people, after they change their minds, reconstruct their past opinion - they believe they always thought that. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We're blind to our blindness. We have very little idea of how little we know. We're not designed to know how little we know. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The concept of loss aversion is certainly the most significant contribution of psychology to behavioral economics. -- Daniel Kahneman
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If it takes 5 machines 5 minutes to make 5 widgets, how long would it take 100 machines to make 100 widgets? 100 minutes OR 5 minutes -- Daniel Kahneman
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policy is ultimately about people, what they want and what is best for them. -- Daniel Kahneman
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We don't only tell stories when we set out to tell stories, our memory tells us stories. That is, what we get to keep from our experiences is a story. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Sometimes when you are asked a question that is difficult, the mind doesn't stay silent if it doesn't have the answer. The mind produces something, and what it produces very characteristically is the answer to an easier but related question. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The effort invested in 'getting it right' should be commensurate with the importance of the decision. -- Daniel Kahneman
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The concept of happiness has to be reorganised. -- Daniel Kahneman
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A Random Walk Down Wall Street -- Daniel Kahneman
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Intuitive predictions need to be corrected because they are not regressive and therefore are biased. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Familiarity breeds liking. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Flow neatly separates the two forms of effort: concentration on the task and the deliberate control of attention. -- Daniel Kahneman
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Nothing in life is quite as important as you think it is while you're thinking about it. -- Daniel Kahneman
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If individuals are rational, there is no need to protect them against their own choices. -- Daniel Kahneman
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He had no idea what was wrong, but he knew something was wrong. It turned out that the heart of the fire had not been in the kitchen but in the basement beneath where the men had stood. -- Daniel Kahneman