Discover the most popular and inspiring quotes and sayings on the topic of Heuristic. Share them with your friends on social media platforms like Facebook, Twitter, or your personal blogs, and let the world be inspired by their powerful messages. Here are the Top 100 Heuristic Quotes And Sayings by 94 Authors including Barack Obama,Cass R. Sunstein,Imre Lakatos,Jack Welch,Charlie Munger for you to enjoy and share.
You can't always come up with the optimal solution, but you can usually come up with a better solution.
Social scientists emphasize that people use the "availability heuristic," which means that we assess risks by asking whether a bad (or good) event is cognitively "available." It
The positive heuristic of the programme saves the scientist from becoming confused by the ocean of anomalies.
When it comes to strategy, ponder less and do more.
Intelligent people make decisions based on opportunity costs.
To bother about the best method of accomplishing an accidental result.
Choose in haste and regret at leisure.
A few strong instincts and a few plain rules suffice us
You have to be fast on your feet and adaptive or else a strategy is useless.
Strategists who don't take time to think are just planners.
Intelligence is a game of imperfect information. We can guess our opponent's moves, but we can't be sure until the game is over.
Strategy is a pattern in a stream of decisions
An efficient plan will involve a flame thrower
Genius sees the dynamic purpose first, find reasons afterward.
If we return to the roots of planning we see at its heart a desire to understand human behaviour and provide a robust model for influencing it. Rather than dismantling strategy into endless experimentation, we need a new way of understanding the world, a modern philosophy.
The fanatic emphasis on 'Plan B' that professionals talk about is not a coward's fall-back system. It serves a purpose, a purpose that a strategist has envisioned and planned before the need for an alternate solution surfaces.
I usually go with the first instinct, and then build upon that.
In reality, though, most of the time we don't choose the best option - we choose the first reasonable option, a strategy known as satisficing.
I don't really plan. I'm almost intuitive about things.
People who are given to deliberating on their actions generally find themselves in a serious frame of mind when it comes to embarking on a journey or changing their mode of life. At such moments one reviews the past and forms plans for the future.
I go by instinct - i don't worry about experience.
I think that you make the best choice with the information that you have before you at that given time.
Prior Planning Prevents Piss Poor Performance
He who sees different ways to the same end, will, unless he watches carefully over his own conduct, lay out too much of his attention upon the comparison of probabilities and the adjustment of expedients, and pause in the choice of his road, till some accident intercepts his journey.
Make moves that minimize mistakes and maximize the potential for success
You have good instincts,trust them. Thinking through every step is fine if you're playing chess, but this isn't chess.
The reliance on the heuristic caused predictable biases (systematic errors) in their predictions.
Being able to know when to make quick decisions is an important skill.
You have to have the will not to jump at the first solution, because the really elegant solution might be right around the corner.
You must maximize the probability that someone shows up at front door of your store or website and ends up with a solved problem.
A plan relieves you of the torment of choice.
Optimal results are not achievable without optimal behavior.
Somewhere along the line, I conditioned myself to be a quick thinker. I take a step back and try to assess the situation, then make the best decision possible at the moment.
Sometimes, the most practical thing to do is to think.
It's a constant process of bouncing ideas off of one another and intuitively arriving at the right decision in the moment.
I'm practical. I see something, and I do it.
People with a plan see and wait for the right time.
The more human beings proceed by plan the more effectively they may be hit by accident
I'm pretty instinctive. I'm a quick learner.
RAND scientists tried to tell their wives that the decision whether to buy or not to buy a washing machine was an 'optimization problem'.
I always go by instinct and then wrestle with where by instinct brought me.
If someone says you're not strategic, try to figure out what that means and then tell him or her to go to hell.
You need a new strategy for every new situation.
What I'm trying to do is to maximise the probability of the future being better.
With a clever strategy, each action is self-reinforcing. Each action creates more options that are mutually beneficial. Each victory is not just for today but for tomorrow.
Strategy is all very well, but it pays to give thought from time to time to the results.
Figuring out how to think about the problem.
My process is learn, decide, and do. I've never seen a problem that couldn't be solved this way.
Intuition will tell the thinking mind where to look next.
Always think backwards before moving forwards
In algorithms, as in life, persistence usually pays off.
The person with a plan, a picture, will go after thoughts that add value to their thinking.
The process of developing superior strategies is part planning, part trail and error, until you hit upon something that works.
Why bother with a cunning plan when a simple one will do?
Attack the enemy's strategy.
In action be primitive; in foresight, a strategist.
Dunn's Law:
Careful planning is no substitute for dumb luck.
Thinking, Fast and Slow
In all planing you make a list and you set priorities.
I work on instinct. It's my best adviser.
When action grows unprofitable, gather information; when information grows unprofitable, sleep.
It is not a move, even the best move that you must seek, but a realizable plan
The bat-and-ball problem is our first encounter with an observation that will be a recurrent theme of this book: many people are overconfident, prone to place too much faith in their intuitions.
When faced with challenges, the greatest weapon is plan.
There is general agreement among researchers that nearly all stock pickers, whether they know it or not-and few of them do-are playing a game of chance.
In life, we make the best decisions we can with the information we have on hand.
Everyone makes the best decisions they can with the information they have available at the time. If you get them right half the time, you're doing well.
It is necessary to develop a strategy that utilizes all the physical conditions and elements that are directly at hand. The best strategy relies upon an unlimited set of responses.
You have to take the calculated risk,to earn something
Plan for what you don't know rather than what you do.Plan-- Adam Hartung
Where instinct fails, intellect must venture.
Strategic wisdom is an integral and multidimensional intelligence.
Premature optimization is the root of all evil. - Donald E. Knuth [
Even the best planning is not so omniscient as to get it right the first time.
It is better to follow out a plan consistently even if it isn't the best one than to play without a plan at all. The worst thing is to wander about aimlessly.
Apply logic in places where it wasn't intended to exist.
There but for the... good choices I've made, genetics, psychological conditioning, and 10K random elements, go I.
Small, Smart Choices + Consistency + Time = RADICAL DIFFERENCE
Plan to make good choices.
Most of the choices we make each day may feel like the products of well-considered decision making, but they're not. They're habits.
I seek as much as I can to mitigate risk.
I try and avoid thinking of strategy and I tend to stick to my gun of doing things that I like and try to avoid things that I "should" be doing, and stay true to that.
Be quick to take advantage of an advantage.
There are times in all of our lives when a reliance on gut or intuition just seems more appropriate - when a particular course of action just feels right.
Our unconscious is really good at quick decision-making - it often delivers a better answer than more deliberate and exhaustive ways of thinking.
The first step in Choosing is Prioritizing.
I'm a pragmatist.
Pieces of intelligence, scraps of intelligence ... you run down leads and you run down leads, and you hope that sometimes it works.
Plans are what people make when Fate is sneaking up behind them,
There is a calculus, it turns out, for mastering our subconscious urges. For companies like Target, the exhaustive rendering of our conscious and unconscious patterns into data sets and algorithms has revolutionized what they know about us and, therefore, how precisely they can sell.
Be real and adjust you strategy according to honest results.
Common sense, however it tries,
cannot avoid being surprised from time to time.
A plan is made for a few moves only, not for the whole game.
Those who are patient, plan. And beware the man with a plan.
Optimization is generally detrimental to future success, but it is the only way to accomplish present success in competition with others who are equally interested in short-term results.
Take decision each single time to ascertain that you are getting the best every time.
What better way to discover the unknown than to follow your instincts instead of your plans.
Learning to trust your instincts, using your intuitive sense of what's best for you, is paramount for any lasting success.
When you turn guesses into plans, you enter a danger zone. Plans let the past drive the future. They put blinders on you. "This is where we're going because, well, that's where we said we were going." And that's the problem: Plans are inconsistent with improvisation.
Instinct is everything.